Debacle of the socialists in Spain, France and Germany, according to a Europe...

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The European PP will revalidate its current hegemony in the Brussels Parliament in the elections next May. This is predicted by an internal survey managed by the coalition of liberal parties of the Old Continent. The same survey indicates a new decline in socialist parties in countries such as Spain, France and Germany. As leaders of the European PP explain to El Confidencial Digital , the study is based on analysis of voting intentions carried out, at a local level, by demoscopic companies from the main countries of the Union : “We have collected these statistical data and we have carried out our own calculation facing the elections.” In these surveys, a downward trend is observed for the parties that make up the two large European groups , and the advance of minorities, especially regionalists and the extreme left. Despite this dynamic, surveys suggest that the fall of the socialist formations will be much more pronounced than that of the liberals and conservatives. The PSOE will lose half a million voters The polls held by the European PP point to a drop of “hundreds of thousands of voters” for the PSOE compared to the 2009 Strasbourg Parliament elections. Specifically, a drop of half a million votes is predicted for the socialists. Spanish people.

If in the elections five years ago the candidacy led by López Aguilar obtained 6,141,784 votes, in these elections it will fall far short of the six million barrier. According to the estimates of the European PP, the PSOE “ would obtain around 5,600,000 votes .” This result  Phone Number List would cause the loss of “three or four seats”, going from 21 in 2009 to 17-18 in 2014. As reported in these pages , Ferraz are not much more optimistic regarding the European elections in May, although their internal forecasts involve a range of between 18 and 20 deputies in the European Parliament, although they predict a ' tie ' technician' with the PP . Problems for the French PS and the German SPD The PSOE will not be the only major European left-wing formation that will repeat defeat in the May elections. The French Socialist Party and the German SPD will also suffer a significant defeat in the next elections. These are the data handled by the European PP: -- Hollande's PS sinks : The arrival of François Hollande to the presidency of the Republic in May 2012 will not mean a change of trend for the French Socialist Party in the European elections, which will once again suffer a severe blow. The policies carried out by Hollande in the last year have caused his party to suffer a collapse in voting intention surveys in France. Today, and according to data from the European 'popular', the PSF will obtain an electoral result close to that of 2009, the worst in its history, when it obtained 14 deputies: “ Its range is now between 15 and 17 seats ”. -- The SPD does not make a comeback : With the German elections still recent, voting intention surveys in Germany have changed little compared to those elections in September 2013. In that sense, the European PP predicts that the German SPD will win in May “ 25-26 seats ”.



The result, which improves that of 2009 (23 deputies) would not allow the German socialists too much joy, since Merkel's CDU will be "about 10 seats above ." The English Labor Party, the exception In this context, the only joy for European socialists comes from Great Britain, where the Labor Party will comfortably prevail over David Cameron's Conservative Party . In this sense, the erosion of the Prime Minister's Government will allow the British progressives to obtain a victory that will turn around the results of 2009. However, this data is of little concern in the European People's Party, since Cameron's formation is integrated in the Strasbourg chamber, not in the Socialist Parliamentary Group, but in the Group of European Conservatives and Reformists. The president of the Commission, again from the EPP If the European PP's predictions come true, the Commission will once again have a 'popular' president, like Durao Barroso now . According to community legislation, the group with the majority in Parliament is the one that has the power to appoint the leader of the most important body of the Union. The police stations, however, will be negotiated between all parliamentary groups. As has been reported in these pages, the Government of Mariano Rajoy is considering proposing Miguel Arias Cañete as European Commissioner for Agriculture , although the arrival of Luis de Guindos to the Economy Commissioner is not ruled out.